Jumat, 21 Januari 2011

21 Januari 2011

Dulu saat saya masih newbie di saham, teman saya memberi masukan yang sangat2 bagus sehingga sampai sekarang saya masih tetap mengingatnya

Trading lessons form Nicholas Darvas

Siapa sih yang tidak mengenal Nicholas Darvas, hampir semua trader mengetahuinya.. Trader besar dan terkenal yang menemukan trading teknik yang membawa dia sukses, Darvas BOx.. Salah satu teknik swinger yang unik dengan menggunakan darvas box.. Ya itulah professional, mereka selalu memiliki strategi yang beda dengan orang lain..
Sedikit saya akan sharing kan trading lessong yang saya sadur langsung dari peryataan beliau..
Check this out !!

1. There are no good or bad stocks. There are only stocks that rise in price and stocks that decline in price, and that price is based on the laws of supply and demand in the marketplace

2. "You can never go broke taking a profit" is bad advice that will result in overtrading and cutting winners short. Selling winners and holding losers is to be avoided at all times

3. There is a "follow-the-leader" style in the market. You will find success by selecting the most active and strongest industry group and trading its top leader

4. The combination of price and increased volume is key to stock selection. Focus your time on new leaders emerging with a new market cycle

5. It is the anticipation of growth rather than the growth itself that leads to great profits in growth stocks. "You have to find out what the public wants and go along with it. You can't fight the tape, or the public."

6. One of the quickest ways to lose money in the market is to listen to others and all of their so-called expert opinions. To succeed, you must ignore all outside opinions and predictions. Follow your own strategy!

7. Losses are tuition on Wall Street. Learn from them.

8. You should expect to be wrong half of the time. Your goal is to lose as little as possible when you are. "I have no ego in the stock market. If I make a mistake I admit it immediately and get out fast. If you could play roulette with the assurance that whenever you bet $100 you could get out for $98 if you lost your bet, wouldn't you call that good odds?"

9. Most of your big failures will come from three things: 1) when you abandon your rules, 2) you become overconfident, and 3) trade in despair when unsuccessful

10. The best speculators search only for the very best opportunities. To be truly successful, you must wait for the right opportunities to present themselves and this often means doing nothing for long periods of time

11. The market behaves the way it does due to participants behaving the way they do. No one knows what they will do until they actually do it

12. Long-term investors are the real gamblers in the market due to their eternal hope that losing stocks will come back in price

13. It is difficult to be profitable on the short side of the market versus the long side - trading in rising or bull markets will give you the best chance for success

14. Most, if not all stocks, will follow the general trend of the market

15. To train your emotions, write down the reasons for making every trade. When you lose, write down what you thought contributed to the loss. Then study and set new rules to avoid making those same mistakes

16. Concentrate your trades. At the peak of his success, Darvas would hold only 5 to 8 stocks at one time which was in contrast to his earlier days when he was overtrading and would hold up to 30 stocks at a time

17. Avoid fallen leaders. Overhead resistance will keep upside potential limited due to supply from previous buyers who had not cut short their losses. According to Darvas, the only sound reason for a stock is one that is rising in price. If that is not happening, then there is "no other reason worth considering."

18. Darvas used his "box theory" to trade using boxes to time his entries (on breaking out to a new higher box) and exits (breaking below the current trading box). For more info on using Darvas boxes, visit these two websites: GerryCo & Sethi

19. For new trades, Darvas used "pilot buys" which basically were starter positions in stocks he liked. Only if the stock continued to move higher would he then pyramid and increase his position. He learned never to buy more of a losing position

20. He thought many unsuccessful investors made the mistake of looking at the same familiar names that might have worked well for them in the past instead of focusing on the next stock with the right elements for the new market cycle. "I am only in infant industries where earnings could double or triple. The biggest factor in stock prices is the lure of future earnings. The dream of the future is what excites people, not the reality."

21. Perfection has no role in successful trading. No one can buy at the absolute lowest price and sell at the highest price. No time or effort should be devoted to that goal. "I never bought a stock at the low or sold one at the high in my life. I am satisfied to be along for most of the ride."

22. Trade only when the environment is in your favor. Darvas' strategy kept him out of poor and bear markets because he wouldn't trade stocks that didn't fit his requirements which were only found in raging bull markets

23. Be aggressive when warranted. Darvas believed in making aggressive trades when his system pointed to a great trade. In fact, sometimes 50% of his capital was devoted to just one stock

24. While his trading approach was very technical, after studying the market's winners he understood the relevance of finding stocks also with good fundamentals. Namely, Darvas thought that earnings and the future estimate of increased earnings were very important

25. Be a student of the market. Darvas learned by reading more than 200 books about speculators and the market and devoted studying the market for many hours a day. In fact, Gerald Loeb's books & approach served as key inspiration

26. No one can completely master the market. After millions of dollars and best selling books, Darvas was still learning and tweaking his system until he passed away

Dan satu kata yang saya sangat2 suka adalah One of the quickest ways to lose money in the market is to listen to others and all of their so-called expert opinions. To succeed, you must ignore all outside opinions and predictions. Follow your own strategy!. Semakin anda senang mendengarkan opini orang, semakin anda membuka telinga dengan keadaan diluar, maka you will got nothing from this market!! Saya sudah membuktikannya, dulu waktu awal belajar, hancur semua sudah porto saya.. Tapi ketika saya belajar dengan lbh sungguh, dan percaya diri sendiri, melakukan trading plan pribadi dengan konsekuensi, hasilnya awesome!!.. Tidak peduli orang diluar berkata tentang berita apa, tapi saya yakin bahwa trading plan saya selalu memberi keuuntungan maksimal di segala kondisi market.. Jadilah seperti bayi di market, yang tidak peduli dengan kata-kata orang lain selain mama dan papanya (trading plan pribadi). Mau ada gempa, mau ada badai, mama papa akan selalu memberikan yang terbaik buat kita.. TRUST THAT! Jika ada yang meng-argumen kata-kata saya, baiknya jawab pertanyaan saya dulu "Sudah berapa maksimal keuntungan yang anda peroleh? brapa banyak trader yang jadi terombang ambing gara-gara omongan kalian?" sorry this is hard, but i must to take this.. Novice looks for Challenge, and professional looks for SIMPLE one!

itu sebabnya saya sudah tidak pernah memberi rekomendasi buy, hold ato sell di blog saya.. Saya hanya memberikan chart dan bagaimana cara bacanya, sedangkan entry point adalah tugas anda untuk memikirkannya.. Saya rindu, semua pembaca blog ini dapat meraih cita-cita bersama, mandiri finansial.. Saya slalu berdoa untuk itu, believe it or not..

http://ddtsaham.blogspot.com/2010/06/trading-lessons-form-nicholas-darvas.html

Tarif Bea Keluar CPO

Berdasarkan Peraturan Menteri Keuangan Nomor 223/PMK.011/2008 tentang penetapan barang ekspor yang dikenakan bea keluar dan tarif bea keluar, maka diputuskan bea keluar baru.

Terhadap penetapan dan pengenaan tarif bea keluar terhadap barang ekspor berupa kelapa sawit dan CPO dan produk turunannya, maka berlaku ketentuan:


  • Harga referensi hingga US$ 700 per ton, bea keluarnya adalah 0%
  • Harga referensi US$ 701-750 per ton, bea keluarnya adalah 1,5%
  • Harga referensi US$ 751-800 per ton, bea keluarnya adalah 3%
  • Harga referensi US$ 801-850 per ton, bea keluarnya adalah 4,5%
  • Harga referensi US$ 751-900 per ton, bea keluarnya adalah 6%
  • Harga referensi US$ 901-950 per ton, bea keluarnya adalah 7,5%
  • Harga referensi US$ 951-1.000 per ton, bea keluarnya adalah 10%
  • Harga referensi US$ 1.001-1.050 per ton, bea keluarnya adalah 12,5%
  • Harga referensi US$ 1.051-1.100 per ton, bea keluarnya adalah 15%
  • Harga referensi US$ 1.101-1.150 per ton, bea keluarnya adalah 17,5%
  • Harga referensi US$ 1.151-1.200 per ton, maka bea keluarnya adalah 20%
  • Harga referensi US$ 1.201-1.250 per ton, maka bea keluarnya adalah 22,5%
  • Harga referensi lebih dari atau sama dengan US$ 1.251 per ton, maka bea keluarnya adalah 25%.




 IHSG

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